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Siakam + Haliburton Trade Scenarios

I think Siakam is just outside of Daryl’s fabled "top 30,"but might be the most gettable "big wing" given that Jaylen seems to be off the table.

A trade construction I haven’t often seen: Haliburton and Siakam for Simmons, Harris, and Shake, with Fox going to Toronto. There are numerous potential iterations of this, but the core idea is that:

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Sixers give:

Simmons, Harris, and Shake, plus some combo of Thybulle, Korkmaz, and picks

Sixers get:

Siakam and Haliburton, plus some combo of Boucher, Hield, Barnes, and/or expiring contracts in Bagley, Dragic, and Thompson

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Kings give:

Fox and Haliburton, plus some combo of Barnes, Bagley, Hield, and Harkless

Kings get:

Simmons, Harris, and Shake, plus some combo of Thybulle, Korkmaz, and Dragic

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Raptors give:

Siakam, plus some combo of Dragic and Boucher

Raptors get:

Fox, plus some combo of Barnes, Korkmaz, and Harkless

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Here are several iterations of this construction, all of which I’ve confirmed are workable in Fanspo’s NBA Trade Machine.

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***OPTION A*** . . . The Basic Version

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Sixers give:

Simmons and Harris, plus Shake and Korkmaz

Sixers get:

Siakam and Haliburton, plus Hield and Bagley

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Kings give:

Fox and Haliburton, plus Hield and Bagley

Kings get:

Simmons, Harris, and Shake

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Raptors give:

Siakam

Raptors get:

Fox, plus Korkmaz

ANALYSIS: For the Sixers, this calculus is easy. We’d be moving Simmons and Harris for Siakam and Haliburton, neither of whom is a current top 30 player, but a) Simmons isn’t really a top 30 player, either! and b) Siakam is probably just outside of that range (DARKO has him ranked #32 in DPM), while Haliburton is already a solid secondary creator who has shown flashes of creation and pull-up 3s and potential to become a borderline primary initiator/lead guard. Either of them would also work well as the centerpiece in a Lillard trade or Harden S&T. Additionally, both Siakam and Haliburton would fit well with Embiid, Maxey, and even Harden, giving us an excellent, balanced roster today as well as maximum optionality going forward.

For the Raptors, Siakam is highly paid and somewhat redundant on their roster full of long, rangy wings, and Fox would provide an injection of explosive scoring punch and athleticism on the perimeter that they are currently lacking. He also earns $5M/year less than Siakam.

For the Kings, this might require the Sixers to throw in picks and/or young players (would Springer, Joe, or Reed be enough?) to do it. But they’d end up with ostensibly the best player in the deal in Simmons, which is generally a pretty good way to win trades. Players like Simmons (who is a better overall player and has higher 2-way upside vs. either Fox or Haliburton) don’t generally end up in Sacramento unless they’re traded for.

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***OPTION B*** . . . Including Boucher, Barnes, and Thybulle

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Sixers give:

Simmons and Harris, plus Thybulle, Shake, and Korkmaz

Sixers get:

Siakam and Haliburton, plus Boucher, Hield, and Bagley

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Kings get:

Fox, Haliburton, plus Barnes, Hield, and Bagley

Kings get:

Simmons, Harris, and Shake, plus Thybulle and Dragic

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Raptors give:

Siakam, plus Boucher and Dragic

Raptors get:

Fox and Barnes, plus Korkmaz

ANALYSIS: The difference here is that the deal has been expanded to include Thybulle, Barnes, and Boucher.

For the Sixers, this is essentially Option A plus Thybulle (out) and Boucher (in), which I think is a slam dunk from the Sixers’ perspective. Boucher is a far better player right now, fits with Embiid in shooting-heavy lineups at the 4 while serving as a credible stretch 5 in Embiid-less lineups. He’s currently earning $7M and is an unrestricted free agent this summer (which might be the only reason we could get him for the price of Thybulle), so he could be expensive to retain, but DPM currently rates Boucher as the 63rd-best player in the league, which doesn’t sound crazy to me as he was even more impactful for them last season.

For the Kings, they are essentially adding Barnes and Thybulle to the trade. The rationale for them is improving their defense, which has long been a sore spot and a driving force in their inability to make the playoffs over the past 15 years. With Simmons and Thybulle spearheading their defense, plus the solid Harris and the departure of defensive sieves Fox and Haliburton, they could credibly put out a switchy, rangy defensive scheme and make their way into the top half of the league in defensive rating. Similar issues exist here as with Option A; the Sixers would probably have to give up more in young players and/or draft capital to get Sacramento to bite.

For the Raptors, Harrison Barnes replaces Siakam in a lower-usage role while mentoring the younger, cheaper Scottie Barnes, whose development is currently being hindered by the presence of Siakam.

This is my favorite of the 3 options because of the presence of Boucher, and also probably the least likely.

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***OPTION C*** . . . Cap Space (read: Harden) Edition

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Sixers give:

Simmons and Harris, plus Shake, and Korkmaz

Sixers get:

Siakam and Haliburton, plus Bagley, Dragic, and Thompson

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Kings give:

Fox, Haliburton, and Barnes, plus Bagley and Thompson

Kings get:

Simmons, Harris, and Shake, plus Korkmaz

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Raptors give:

Siakam, plus Dragic

Raptors get:

Fox and Barnes

ANALYSIS: In this version, the Sixers prioritize receiving expiring contracts in addition to their 2 new building blocks.

For the Sixers, Dragic ($19.4M), Bagley ($11.3M), and Thompson ($9.7M) would all be coming off the books this summer, clearing $40.4M off the books. If we renounce Green, Joe, and Reed, that would put our payroll at $97.9M — roughly $21.1M below the projected cap. Not nearly enough to sign Harden outright, but certainly low enough that we could either do a S&T with Brooklyn and give them a hefty trade exception, or clear the decks by trading our other good contracts (e.g. Seth, Niang, Springer, and Bassey) to create the requisite cap room to sign Harden outright.

Even better if we could somehow replace Tristran Thompson in the deal with Boucher (see Option B), but let’s not get too greedy. Siakam, Haliburton, and $40.4M in expiring contracts is a massive haul for Simmons, Harris, Shake, and Korkmaz. Again, we’d probably have to add picks and/or players to make this work. I’d be willing to throw in any 1 or 2 of our young players (except Maxey) to make this happen.

For the Kings, they’d be receiving all of the Sixers’ wing-sized players not named Thybulle and Brown Jr. Perhaps they would prefer to give up Hield rather than Barnes to the Raptor, but then again, they might decide to keep Hield and his 9.3 3PA/g around with Simmons coming into their backcourt.

For the Raptors, Siakam and Dragic for Fox and Barnes seems like a pretty attractive deal.

CONCLUSION: There are obviously various other iterations of this trade that I haven’t listed here — ones with both Barnes and Boucher headed to the Sixers, for example, or some combination of Thybulle/Joe/Reed/Springer headed to the other teams.

So the questions I have for all of you are:

1) What do you think of this general trade construction?

2) Which of the 3 options do you prefer?

3) What would you be willing to add from the Sixers’ side to incentivize SAC and/or TOR to do this deal?

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