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Sixers Trade Deadline: An intro to Glenn Robinson III

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A quick overview of the Sixers’ newly acquired wing.

NBA: Golden State Warriors at Philadelphia 76ers Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Intro

Glenn Robinson III is a 26-year-old 6’6” wing who can play both small forward and shooting guard. He’s in his sixth NBA season after spending the first five developing his game while playing for four different teams, including a 10-game stint with the Sixers in the 2014-15 season.

Robinson has been granted increased playing time this season (31.6 MPG in 2019-20 vs. 14.4 MPG over the previus 5 seasons) on an injury-riddled Golden State Warriors team. He’s used that opportunity to his advantage, averaging a career-high 12.9 points per game on 57.4% true shooting and 40.0% on 3.5 3PA per game (all also career highs). In other words, Robinson III is having his best statistical season as a pro.

As a bonus, it sounds like Robinson was well-liked by the Golden State coaching staff:

Statistics

Per Game Averages

Per 100 Possessions

Scoring

Transition: Transition play accounts for 23.1% of Robinson III’s scoring this season and he’s scoring at a rate of 1.25 points per play (78th percentile).

Off screens: Robinson III is comfortable shooting off screens, scoring 1.07 PPP (73rd percentile).

Spotting up: Robinson III is a mostly average spot-up shooter in terms of efficiency, scoring 1.00 PPP when spotting up (56th percentile). Still, his reputation as a shooter should help spacing.

Shot profile: GRIII loves the midrange and the Sixers have plenty of that already. GRIII’s frequency splits are actually very similar to those of Tobias Harris.

% of shots at rim/midrange/3PT, per Cleaning The Glass:

  • Robinson III: 26%/42%/32%
  • Harris: 29%/41%/29%

All-in-ones

The all-in-one metrics don’t love GRIII, with each in agreement that his play is negatively impactful.

Offense/Defense/Overall

PIPM: -0.48/-1.76/-2.24

RPM: -0.38/-1.28/-1.66

RAPTOR: -1.6/-0.5/-2.0

BPM: -0.4/-1.1/-1.5

DPM*: -1.47

*DARKO Daily Plus Minus differs from its counterparts in that it’s not attempting to capture the impact the player has had — it’s projecting the impact they will have.

Takeaway

I like Robinson’s skill set for this Sixers roster as a spot-up wing with some length. I even think he eliminates some of his midrange attempts as his minutes and shot attempts decline upon being traded to a deeper team. I can’t see him being too much of a difference maker in the playoffs (well, at least in the positive direction) aside from maybe getting hot in an early round series. The on/off numbers and the all-in-ones all suggest his teams are better defensively without him on the floor but the Sixers have the defensive talent to cover up a few flaws. Considering his natural fit with the team’s core personnel, Robinson should be an almost immediate upgrade over some of Brett Brown’s other options and the Sixers have work to do after the All-Star break. Given the organization’s depleted assets as far as what they’re willing to give up at the moment, Robinson is a fine get for the final stretch of the season but I also don’t think he ultimately moves the needle much when it comes to their long term goals.