clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

76ers' Sunday Morning Shootaround: Electric Simulation

Not able to make the Liberty Ballers/Rights To Rickey Sanchez NBA Draft Lottery Party? No problem! We simulated the draft lottery over 100 times to tell you how it's all going to go down on Tuesday.

Nerlens Noel will be the Sixers' rep this Tuesday at the draft lottery. But we already know how it's all going down.
Nerlens Noel will be the Sixers' rep this Tuesday at the draft lottery. But we already know how it's all going down.
Mike Stobe/Getty Images

As you may have heard, Liberty Ballers and the Rights to Ricky Sanchez are joining forces to host our second annual NBA Draft Lottery Party. All of the pertinent details can be found here.

Sadly, we realize that not all of our loyal readers will be able to partake in the festivities on Tuesday night for a variety of reasons (distance, finances, horrible bosses, house arrest bracelets). But fear not: Over the past few days (read: during an episode of the Real Housewives of Atlanta - I don't control the TV in my house), we simulated the draft lottery 102 times so that we can give you a pretty decent idea of how it's all going to shake out later this week. Why 102? Because 103 would have been overkill.

Pretty pictures and infographics are below (and here's an additional link to an odds chart from our friends over at Rukkus), but here are some of the highlights:

  • 11 different teams won the No. 1 overall pick. Charlotte (1.7 percent chance to win), Phoenix (0.6 percent) and Utah (0.7 percent) never ended the simulation with the top selection.
  • The team we care about the most - the Philadelphia 76ers - won the lottery 20 times (19.6 percent of the simulations), a bit higher than their 15.6 percent odds heading into Tuesday.
  • The most frequent outcome had the New York Knicks coming in at No. 1, followed by the Sixers at No. 2 and the Minnesota Timberwolves at No. 3 (5 times). Frozen envelopes, y'all.
  • Due to the logic programmed into the draft simulator, every team who wound up at No. 1 - including the 76ers - always selected Karl-Anthony Towns.
  • Whenever the Sixers landed either the No. 2 or No. 3 pick, the simulator had them selecting PG Emmanuel Mudiay (over Duke PF/C Jahlil Okafor and/or Ohio State PG/SG D'Angelo Russell).
  • The Sixers wound up with two or more picks 30 times. The most common of these scenarios was 5-6 (11 times). The 6-7 combo happened once, but we won't discuss that.
  • Regardless of where the Sixers' pick(s) fell, there was never a scenario where they ended up with either Jahlil Okafor or Mario Hezonja.
  • #OneSixEleven never happened. Sorry.


Sign up for the newsletter Sign up for the Liberty Ballers Daily Roundup newsletter!

A daily roundup of Philadelphia 76ers news from Liberty Ballers