FanPost

Why Michael Carter-Williams can average an EFFICIENT 20 PPG




First off, I am completely aware of how ugly MCW's offensive game was last year. But there are some diamond in the rough things about his game that if he utilizes them correctly, he can average an efficient 20 points per game.

DRIVES- MCW drove 9.7 times a game last year good for 6th best in the league. (Numbers from NBA.com). He scored 5.8 ppg on those drives good for 8th in the league but only on 37.8%. This is a terrible percentage but there could be some others factors to this bad finishing ability like bad spacing so the defense can collapse on him, or a bum shoulder he had. So lets assume he can up his FG% on drives to a Lowry-esque 50%( because he certaintly has way more physical tools). This would take his PPG on drives from 5.8 to 6.5.

FREE THROWS- People never seem to mention this but MCW was 6th in Point Guard FTA per game at 5.2. Keep in mind that rookies do not usuall get calls. So lets say he drives as much as he did last year but draws more fouls and has 6.2 FTA a game next year with an 80% FT% instead of 70%( Im banking this improvement on natural progression, hard work, and a healthy shoulder). If he could do this, he'd earn 5 PPG from free throws.

3-POINTERS- This is something we all know he struggles with. He scored 2.4 PPG on threes but on only 26.4% shooting. Just like free throws with natural progression , hard work, and healthier shoulder, let say he takes the same amount of attempts (3), but connects 31.66% of the time instead of 26.4%. This means he'd make .95/3 instead of .8/3. This would earn him 2.85 PPG

JUMP-SHOOTING- MCW scored 7.4 PPG on jumpers last year. 2.4 of those points came from 3-point land so that means anything else was 5PPG. Lets say he improves non-3point jumpers to 6 PPG on top of the 3-point improvement I gave him. This would give him 8.85 PPG off jumpers instead of 7.4.

TALLY- 6.5 PPG(Drives) + 5 PPG(Free Throws) + 8.85(Jumpers)= 20.35 PPG for MCW!

He already averaged basically 17 points last year so if he makes these little improvements in each area he can get those efficient 3 more points a game to be an actual 20 point scorer. Please comment I'd like to hear your guys thoughts. It could be a compliment or criticism it does not matter to me I just want to hear it.

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