Arnett Moultrie is better than you think

I broke down Arnett Moultrie's production for Hoop76 here. For the sake of avoiding advertising a Sixers blog on another Sixers blog, I'll also put the actual article in this fanpost:

We look to the Wages of Wins for some insight on the Sixers sparingly-used sophomore.


Arnett Moultrie is a poor defender, is raw offensively, has a questionable motor, and reportedly can’t stay in shape. But as a 27th overall pick, the stats say he’s exceeding expectations.

Moultrie spent most of last season at the end of the big league bench – playing Go Fish with Kwame Brown and counting DNPCDs – so when assessing his value, it’s important to emphasize the sample size is small. But some of the data we have suggests that he wasn’t just a passable rookie; he was the most productive player on the team.

Screen shot 2013-08-18 at 5.14.47 PM

The above table — from The NBA Geek, a Wages of Wins network site — ranks the roster by WP48 (Wins Produced per 48). The 23-year-old rookie had the highest WP48 on last year’s team; higher than Spencer Hawes’, Jrue Holiday’s and Evan Turner’s … combined.

Yes, it’s a small sample size. Minuscule. What we can take away from this, however, is that he was a net positive player, according to WP48. He didn’t deserve to ride the pine.

Screen shot 2013-08-18 at 7.21.04 PM

Now above are the Sixers’ rebounding numbers from last season, via Arnett Moultrie’s rebound rate was the best on the team.

For some context, Kenneth Faried, praised as an elite rebounder, grabbed 5.9 offensive boards every 100 possessions. Arnett Moultrie pulled down 7.5.

Screen shot 2013-08-18 at 7.40.20 PM

Back to the wins produced, via The NBA Geek. PoP48 is Points Over Par per 48 minutes. The metric essentially translates a player’s WP48 into a +/- figure.

Arnett Moultrie led the team in PoP48 in 2012-13. By a lot. He doubled the PoP48 of the SIxers second best player by this measure, Dorell Wright.

A couple takeaways from this particular metric: (a), Evan Turner and Spencer Hawes were atrocious last season. (b) In Moultrie’s 542 minutes on the floor, he gave the team every opportunity to succeed.

PoP48 and WP48 have their limitations, and their critics, but in a nutshell, the data tells us this: in the little opportunity Moultrie’s had, he’s been tremendously productive.

Not bad for a 27th overall pick.

A user-created LB joint. The Liberty Ballers staff does not contribute to FanPosts.

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