FanPost

My 2013 Draft Board

The depressive season that was 2012/2013, pretty much forced me into reading a lot of scouting reports on potential draft picks, watching a lot of scouting videos and even reading every sensible mock draft I could find. In previous years I didn't put that much attention to the draft and opted for choosing a few players that I like and sometimes a few that I don't. One or two were usually some of the top ranked guys, and there was one or two more that were ranked approximately where the Sixers were supposed to pick (for reference I liked Davis, Henson and Sullinger in 2012, Kanter and Valanciunas in 2011, Favors and Monroe in 2010, Rubio in 2009, Love, Mayo and Speights in 2008, Durant and Horford in 2007 etc.). As for some of the guys I disliked over the years (compared to where they were supposed to be drafted): Rose, Thabeet, Jordan Hill, Wesley Johnson, Irving, Derrick Williams, the Morris twins, Thomas Robinson. I look at it as liking (or disliking) players more than the general opinion on them. As you can see I'm far from an expert in this, but I like to think I do ok. My "irrational" picks for this year would be: Len, Burke and Karasev, but more on that later. The dislike guys: McLemore, Plumlee and Olynyk.

Since I paid a lot more attention to the draft this year I decided to create an entire draft board. I've used both methods of creating a mock at the same time: classic ranking and tier based ranking. I've also added comments to some of the players stating some things that stood out to me.

Before I lay out my draft board I would also like to point out a few of the key points in my methodology i.e. the things that are really important to me regarding draft prospects:

  1. Age
  2. IQ in general, feel for the game and competitiveness
  3. Size
  4. RSCI (Were they high recruits?)
  5. Production as freshmen

Of course, athleticism, shooting ability, college production, shot blocking and rebounding ability for bigs, ball handling for guards and the like all factor in a bit in the decision but the 5 key things for me are the ones mentioned above. Also this is not a ranking of how I think they will end up as players, nor is it a ranking of players that fit the Sixers. It's simply a ranking on where I think a certain player is worth picking, where the reward outweighs the risk. I should also add that my philosophy is always picking best player available.

So without further ado here's my draft board:

Rank

Name

Tier

Comment

1.

Alex Len

1

Star potential as a two-way big, has great combination of size and athleticism with a solid head on his shoulders. Worried that he might go too high now, I had him at #1 ever since he was ranked in the 8-10 range. The only worry I have about him is his injury.

2.

Nerlens Noel

1

Not sure he can he actually play center, nor if he'll be able to develop his body. His youth and athleticism puts him at #2 though because there is no real competition. Not overly concerned about his ACL tear.

3.

Trey Burke

1

Too much skill, competitiveness and IQ not to succeed. Guaranteed solid starting PG, at the very least.

4.

Otto Porter

2

Great all-round player, underrated upside

5.

Victor Oladipo

2

Projects terribly skill wise, but has won me over with his interviews. Originally had him much lower.

6.

Sergey Karasev

2

Really good shooter + great production in a strong league + great feel for the game. He reminds me of Stojakovic and Turkoglu

7.

Cody Zeller

3

Great athlete, gets to the line a ton, doesn't shy away from contact, which I think will mitigate his inefficiency vs NBA athletic big men. Definitely a PF IMO, which makes his lack of length not a big issue.

8.

Steven Adams

3

Great body + athleticism, no skills, but still young, worth the risk

9.

Anthony Bennett

3

Good offensive talent, but I have flashbacks of May, Sweatney and Oliver Miller whenever I see him. His has the body of a guy who could easily get overweight after he gets his millions.

10.

Giannis Adetokubo

3

Major project, but has great allround talent

11.

Shabazz Muhammad

3

Despite all the legit question marks I really like his MJ/Kobe killer mentality. That's rare. He is not a good person, but could be a really good basketball player. Also I like UCLA recruits, they always are better in the NBA.

12.

Kentavius Caldwell-Pope

3

Looks great on paper, but can he shoot off the catch or is he a gunner? Everyone projects him as a 3 and D guy, but is he that or is he Nick Young 2.0?

13.

Dennis Shroeder

3

Talented allround PG, he is a project though

14.

CJ McCollum

3

There's no way he busts out, 6th man waiting to happen

15.

Michael Carter-Williams

3

Old and can't shoot, worried about his lack of production deep in his college career, analytics FOs like him

16.

Ben McLemore

3

Great potential in theory, extremely questionable mentality. I feel better about him if picked in the 15-20 range where he'll just be expected to blend in and be a role player. Non-big men stars are smart. McLemore is not going to be a star.

17.

Allan Crabbe

4

3 and D potential, underrated IMO

18.

Rudy Gobert

4

Huge size, terrible (unfixable?) lower body strength. Major bust potential, small allstar potential

19.

Jeff Withey

4

High end backup C, has better upside than given credit IMO. I think he would do very well in a role similar to Omer Asik in Houston.

20.

Archie Goodwin

4

Major project, but I think he is worth the risk at #20

21.

Gorgui Dieng

4

High end backup center.

22.

Livio Jean-Charles

4

Project, but young and has legitimate talent and upside. Lit up the hyped 2014 prospects at the Hoops summit. I have some worries about him being able to guard PFs (he is not a SF), which Is why I don't have him in the top 10.

23.

Nate Wolters

5

Good backup PG material, underrated IMO. Ridnour is a nice comparison IMO.

24.

Tony Mitchell

5

Great all-round potential, questionable personality

25.

Mike Muscala

5

Poor man's Vucevic? Unproven, but has no real weakness IMO. Another underrated guy.

26.

Reggie Bullock

5

3 and D potential. Guaranteed role player.

27.

Kelly Olynyk

6

Originally had him even lower, but he does have some skills so he's probably ok here. Truth be told, he was very efficient with huge usage rate in college.

28.

Tony Snell

6

29.

Shane Larkin

6

30.

Jamaal Franklin

6

Older and can't shoot are major red flags, despite solid all-round game. He looks to me a bit like a poor man's Turner despite better athleticism

31.

Grant Jerrett

6

3 point shooting + shot blocking ability = intriguing in a PF

32.

Lucas Nogueira

6

Project big, needs strength badly, not sure he can add it.

33.

Nemanja Nedovic

6

34.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

6

35.

Erick Green

6

36.

Isaiah Canaan

7

37.

Mason Plumlee

7

Can't see him being more than a 10min per game big

38.

Myck Kabongo

7

High recruit with very good athleticism, but zero production

39.

Glen Rice Jr.

7

Is the D-League performance small sample size?

40.

Jackie Carmichael

7

Possible solid nice 9th man

41.

CJ Leslie

7

42.

BJ Young

7

43.

DeShaun Thomas

8

44.

Alex Abrines

8

45.

Pierre Jackson

8

Way too small, will have better success in Europe

So that's it. I went all the way up to 45 because the Sixers hold the #42 pick. Going after #45 made little sense anyway since the draft at this point is a major crap shoot. They most likely won't even make the league. I didn't necessarily view the draft as a tool to amass assets as HInkie will, but I think the differences if looked at it that way won't be too big.

Overall i think we all need to temper our expectations a little bit with this draft. This is the draft of role players, it's very likely there won't be more than 2-3 players that could be core players on a contending team.

What do you guys think? Do you think I overvalue/undervalue someone and why?

Another user-created LB joint.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Liberty Ballers

You must be a member of Liberty Ballers to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Liberty Ballers. You should read them.

Join Liberty Ballers

You must be a member of Liberty Ballers to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Liberty Ballers. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker