Player Preview: Louis Williams
The player I'll be previewing today is controversial combo-guard Lou Williams. About 70% of the debates at Liberty Ballers revolve around Lou Williams. People either love him or hate him; there's no in between. Some claim they'd rather have a bag of Doritos play backup point guard. Others are already campaigning for him to win NBA MVP. See what I have to say about Lou after the jump.
Past Previews:
Click here for grading system used.
Current (Grade:5)
Lou's strength has always been his scoring, but last year he did it with efficiency, for the first time in his career. He finished with a PER of 18.2 (15th amongst all guards), .576 TS% (T-14 amongst all guards), and .521 eFG% (T-30 amongst all guards). He also finished with the most win shares (5.2) and win shares/48 (0.130) of his career.
However; Lou's career-year didn't see improvement in every area. His free throws per 36 dropped from 7.2 per game to 4.4, the lowest since his rookie season. And his defense -- much like every other Sixer under Eddie Jordan -- saw zero improvement, if not regression.
Potential (Grade:5)
Going into his sixth NBA season, and set to turn 24 next month I think Lou has all but maximized his potential. He may show minimal improvement here and there -- especially his defense under Coach Collins -- but for the most part he's become the player he will be for the rest of his career. As a matter of fact, I'll take years like he had last year, every year from here on out.
One Stat You Should Know
48% of Lou Williams assists set up teammates for baskets at the rim, which is higher percentage than Deron Williams, Steve Nash, LeBron James and Chris Paul.
Outlook
I'd be surprised if Lou Williams is as good offensively this year as he was last year, but if he can improve in two areas he'll more than make up for being less efficient. Area number one is defense. No one expects Lou to be a world-beater on defense, but minor improvement would be welcomed. Much like Eddie Jordan had a negative effect on every individual's defense last season, I think Doug Collins will have a positive effect this season, and hopefully he can turn Lou into an average defender.
Area number two is being less hesitant on spot-up threes. The Sixers have three above average playmakers on the perimeter, and playmakers need three-point shooters to kick the ball out to. Although Lou shot a respectable 34% from downtown last season, he hesitates and pump fakes too often when one of the playmakers sets him up for an open shot. He's also only a 32% three-point shooter for his career. Adding that dimension to his game will boost his value -- considering the roster make-up -- tremendously.
Up next: Evan Turner
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While I agree that Lou has only so much upside (due to his lack of PG instincts and size) I disagree that “Lou has all but maximized his potential.”
So what if he is entering his 6th season. He only played about 800 minutes combined his first 2 seasons. He is under 24, and coming off a season where he dramatically improved in nearly all areas. Why are you closing the door to further growth?
If he simply combines his ability to get to the line from 2 years ago with his shooting from last year he will be a tremendous offensive player. And his defense needs more work, but was improved last year, and certainly can continue to improve given his quickness.
I think a lot of fans hated Lou after his forst few seasons, and turned a blind eye to the player he is developing into. Sort of the like the flip side of the Iguodala and Sam hate some fans have.
I’m not targeting this rant at any particular poster… and I respect people here and sorry in advance for the negative tone of this post. That said:
The Sixers are a bad team. But there seems to be a tendency for people to always blame the best players on the team, instead of acknowledging the team lacks elite talent. Guys like Iguodala, Sam and Lou could be really productive in the right role on an elite team. But the Sixers lack the talent base, so their weaknesses are exposed and magnified. It seems like the only players fans cut slack are guys in there rookie years (Young then Speights then Jrue) but that love only lasts 1-2 years and turns into disappointment… because the team is still not good.
Same with coaches. I’m not willing to defend EJ- but are we ready to admit that Cheeks is a good coach? We(myself included) complained how they never ran plays- but could he have successfully executed a complex offense with Young, Evans, Lou and Sam as key rotation players? I think all things considered he did quite a jobs getting that team as far as he did. And now we can look back and realize that a starting core of Iguodala, Miller, Brand, Young, Evans, Sam, Lou and Green was flat out lacking in talent compared to the top 10 teams in the league at the time.
by tk76 on Sep 11, 2010 9:07 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
The biggest problem with Lou is that he has been woefully miscast. As much as I don’t like his game, I recognize he has a certain amount of value in the right role. That is, he should be a change-of-pace scoring guard off the bench. The reason I don’t like him as a backup PG is that he is a shooting guard. An instant-offense role player. There is a place in the league for that kind of guy. But that kind of guy should be playing 18-20 minutes a night, not 40.
Haters..
Sams you don’t seem to realize the effectiveness that Lou has on the Sixers. Without him we are NOTHING, did you see how bad they did when he was out? And when he returned, and he didn’t start, did we start winning? No, he made us better but FOR US TO WIN, LOU NEEDS TO START. OMG. And yo, I say Lou has the potential of an “8” and your cute little scale. Lou is a beast and YES I’m saying he is BETTER THAN JRUE (don’t get me wrong, I LOVE Jrue). I think you guys should all open your eyes and see that Lou will go down in history as one of the best basketball players everrrr. He’s so beast and he can do pretty much everything, and with Coach Collins putting all of his focus on Jrue, Turner, Iguodala, Thad, Speights, and Lou, you can expect Lou to Greatly improve on his game.
by LouWilliamsMVP on Sep 12, 2010 9:49 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs

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