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What to do with Thaddeus Young: A Ballad

Happy Monday, cinnamon buns. Allow me to spin you a tale of mischief, menagerie, and missed jumpers on everybody's second favorite Thaddeus (#1): Thaddeus Young. It's been less than 12 months since 99% of us were drooling over what could become of the silky lefty two years removed from Georgia Tech. Seems like forever ago. Now, his role is that of a redundant tweener expected to play sparingly out of position.

Was last year no more than a coaching-induced slump? Is it possible that there's not much to him save for a few crafty post moves and a propensity to finish awkwardly in transition? Will Batman escape from the clutches of the enigmatic Riddler? Hit the jump for the answers to all of these questions.

Star-divide

Before we address Thad's future, I'd like to take a look at his three years here thus far and how our opinion of him changed. I'd like to acknowledge a few things on Thad's behalf first.

  • He's had three different head coaches in three years. Doug is his fourth.
  • He's still just 22 years old.
  • Anybody else remember March '09 before he went down with a sprained ankle? Picture_1_medium
  • He now has a son named TJ -- that's just more of an FYI.
  • He hit this shot over Dwight Howard in game 3 of the first round of the playoffs two seasons ago. (Aside: It feels like 25 years since the Sixers played a meaningful game.)

While his 3PT% has gone up each year, nearly every other statistical category has trended the wrong way. Offensive Rating down, Defensive Rating up (both of those are bad), eFG% and TS% down, PER down, Win Shares per 48 minutes down. Hoopdata gives great info about shot location and Thad's wasn't pretty -- he's hitting about a third of his shots away from the rim and less than 30% outside of 10 feet. His rebounding statistics were miserable to begin with but went up slightly from his second to third years because of more time at the power forward position. His Defensive Multiplier (dMULT) has skyrocketed to a grotesque 1.300 (according to Basketball Prospectus) after league average the previous year. And all of this while his usage rate has climbed from year to year.

Maurice Cheeks always used to talk about how good he was without having any plays run for him. Back then we thought that was a good thing and the coaches were fools not to give him some more touches. We had a young, cheap Lamar Odom on our hands. Last season, Thad went on record as being confused by a lot of the plays EJ was having them run, putting his basketball IQ into serious question. While that may have been overblown since Eddie Jordan was, in fact, a fully-qualified simpleton, it's never good to hear things like that.

Then we went on to draft Evan Turner with the missionWTF campaign and trade for Andres Nocioni this offseason. Add to that Doug Collins insisting that Thaddeus is a 4 and we're stuck in a bit of an odd situation. I'm sure he'll play a little small forward, but with Andre Iguodala, Turner, Nocioni, and Jodie Meeks hogging up the wing spots (and Jason Kapono and Willie Green playing with their Cabbage Patch Dolls on the bench), I don't know that there's a ton of minutes there for him. In the front court, he could backup Elton Brand, but a bunch of minutes should go to Marreese Speights and Spencer Hawes as well. It just seems like he's out of place. And in a contract year (along with Jason Smith and Hawes for Qualifying Offers), this isn't a great place to be in for number 21.

Without a consistent jump shot, average ball-handling ability, or the court vision of a point forward, he's just a guy that can score in isolation, and not all that well. He must become a better rebounder if he's going to be a 4 and develop a reliable shot outside of ten feet regardless of his position. I still feel like he's better suited as a three, but if he's bulked up and worked on defense this offseason, I could see him not being a complete liability on the other end.  He's always had a great reputation in the locker room and for his work ethic, but I can't help but feel he hasn't gotten better since leaving G-Tech as a freshman. He's making just under $3 million this season, which is fine for a 6th man. But when faced with the million dollar pay raise for next season's option, I don't know if Ed will shell out the cheese.

In my opinion, he has no long term future with this team with Andre still on the roster. And since Andre is the better player for now and, in all likelihood, forever, I'm inclined to keep him and try to deal Thaddeus before the deadline. While there's no guarantee Iguodala and Turner will fit together -- and don't make this thread about that please, we've all heard enough -- I'd be more confident fielding a winner over the next 2-3 years with that wing core rather than with Thad involved. If Young gets off to a hot start, wiping away scenes of his poor play from the minds of GM's around basketball (Kahn), it would behoove Stefanski to feel out the market for him, with a mid-first rounder not out of the question for a player with Thad's upside. If the market for Andre is high enough, ship him out for youth/picks and let Thad play 35 minutes a night alongside Turner for a contract.

I'm definitely wary of Ed getting cash-happy and lobbing 4-year deals to Spencer and Thad (and Jason?) just because he'd be lonely without them. In absence of a clear-cut plan in sight, how Collins and Stefanski handle Thaddeus Young this season will be as good an indicator as any as to what they intend to do over the next few years.

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Right now, he’s the backup 4, and will likely play some at the 3. Everyone (meaning Collins, I guess) seems to want to make him into Rashard Lewis.

I don’t see him that way. If nothing else, he would have to really step up his shooting. I see him more as either:

1) A potentially valuable backup player, sort of a more athletic and less skilled version of Shane Battier, especially if he has been working on his strength, rebounding, and defense this offseason, as has been rumored. He could make a terrific 6th man/glue guy kind of player, and those players do have real value (especially in Philly…blue collar, blue collar!). He seems like a really nice kid who wants to do well, has a good attitude, and some real athletic ability. This could happen.

Or…

2) He could be a clueless bust who doesn’t play defense or rebound, can’t figure out the plays, can’t hit a jumpshot, and really shouldn’t get paid any real amount of money at all to sit at the end of someone’s bench. This could also happen.

I’m not sure which one he is, to be honest. He has shown flashes of both. But I find myself rooting for him. There’s not really a rational reason for it. It’s sort of the same reason I really detest Lou Williams (as a player. I’ve never met him as a human being, and am not qualified to comment on him as such). And the funny thing is, they have very similar flaws (except that Thad is not an offensive black hole who bangs the ball on the floor until the shot clock winds down and then does something stupid with it instead of giving it to Iguodala, who might be able to do something useful)…lack of D, poor court vision and limited passing skills, inconsistent outside shot, frequent mental breakdowns. So I’m not sure why I like Thad and dislike Lou. But I am not paid for consistency. Unless Michael and Jordan and co. want to give me a raise…double my salary, dammit! :D

This is a big year for him, obviously. Rumor, though of course unreliable, has him working hard on the things he needs to be working on. As much as it’s an excuse, you can’t completely discount the Eddie Jordan factor, or the related Three Coaches in Three Years factor. We’ll see what the results are. For whatever reason, logical or not, I hope he shows us all something and becomes a valuable player for the Sixers.

And I hope they trade Lou Williams for draft picks and some cap relief :)

by dweebowitz on Aug 2, 2010 7:14 AM PDT reply actions  

I think out of all the players in the NBA, he shares the least in common with Shane Battier. Not the best comparison. And I always root for Thad as well, while I’m much less of a Lou fan.

Liberty Ballers / Ridiculous Upside / Twitter

The Artist Formerly Known As The Artist Formerly Known As Michael Bourn

by Michael Levin on Aug 2, 2010 7:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

I was looking more at the role he could play, rather than at the playing style. Obviously, he doesn’t play at all like Battier, but he could be a high-energy player who does a lot of different things off the bench without actually being a star, or a focal point of the offense, or whatever.

by dweebowitz on Aug 2, 2010 7:22 AM PDT up reply actions  

THAD IS NOT A 4

I am blinded with white hot murderous passion when I hear people say Thaddeus Young is a power forward. He has no power forward like qualities. He has no knockdown 3 to make him a perimeter 4 like Rashard, who isnt a 4 at all. I could go on forever, baby. Lets stop the charade, the facade, the absurdity of this notion.

He is a 6’8" athletic small forward that has small forward qualities. The man is confused by the coaching carousel and frequent change in styles of play, leaving him with an undefined role in ALL 3 years he has been with us. He has been the most underutilized and misused player ive ever seen. lets also add the possibility that he simply may not be that good.

Regardless of whether he is good or not, his quality will never be maximized as a 4. Him playing the 4 means we as a sixer team are playing a gimmick offense, an offense that does not have enough quality players to make anyone fall for such a gimmick. Im upset that Collins thinks hes a 4. I will be upset if he is resigned as a gimmick 4. Im just generally upset and bein a little b****. Either trade Iguodala and see what Thad can do or have no future with the team like Michael mentioned above.

We need to either move on or go all in. And frankly, regardless of my and others fondness of him, he simply hasnt shown anything consistent enough to warrant anything more than 3-4.5 million dollars a year. No more overpaid bench players.

by saveourbluths on Aug 2, 2010 7:46 AM PDT reply actions  

So what are you saying?

Is he worth holding onto as a 3 because he is talented and has been misused, or does the fact that he hasn’t shown anything consistent overshadow the organizations failures with him? Seems like you’re humping the fence.

Liberty Ballers / Ridiculous Upside / Twitter

The Artist Formerly Known As The Artist Formerly Known As Michael Bourn

by Michael Levin on Aug 2, 2010 7:53 AM PDT up reply actions  

I say we do whatever we can to increase his stats

If he scores more at the 4 then put him at the 4. I want him to average 20pts a game and then trade him at the deadline. Maybe we can get a Jason Thompson, Anthony Randolph, Taj Gobson or a Anderson Varajao for him.

by rajav on Aug 2, 2010 8:15 AM PDT reply actions  

Taj Gobson sounds intriguing -- don't know much about him

But I’d rather choke on something sharp than get Anderson Varejao and that awful contract (and pretty awful player)

Liberty Ballers / Ridiculous Upside / Twitter

The Artist Formerly Known As The Artist Formerly Known As Michael Bourn

by Michael Levin on Aug 2, 2010 8:20 AM PDT up reply actions  

Guessing he's a Euro big man

I write about basketball players with Ridiculous Upside. I know you'll love it.

by Scott Schroeder on Aug 3, 2010 10:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

Thad Young fits the role of a small forward like Tayshaun Prince. He is not a 4, he’s too skinny to hold position inside, and I don’t want him to lose his speed. He is best suited running out on the fast break and finishing. With a better outside shot, and a structured offense so that he knows his role, he’ll do fine.

I don’t think I can say enough about how the Sixers have squandered the development of their talent with inferior coaching. Frankly Eddie Jordan, was an idiot, so it’s no wonder Thad was confused! I had hopes for Collins, but calling him a 4 when he’s clearly a 3 is disturbing.

Unless you’re a point guard, you need to have plays run for you! No one can score without the ball, and there are no easy baskets when the team isn’t forcing turnovers. Thad isn’t a garbage player who will make his living picking up missed shots.

Thad should be an excellent three, since he is long and tall for that spot. He should be able to smother smaller players on defense. On offense his quickness gives him an edge and as he develops and refines his post moves he should be able to hold his own on the offensive end as well.

All this is this way because they all think Andre is a 3. He can play the position, but he is better as a 2 guard like Kobe. Everyone needs to get a clue on this: the better teams in the NBA are tall, Lamar Odom and Paul Pierce are the small forwards for the two NBA finalists. If you want to compete with them, you need to match their size.

Andre is a better athlete than most NBA 2’s, but he’s too small to defend players like Pierce or Odom. Thad, however, is not!

To be a 4 you need to be able to bang inside. Thad doesn’t look like a banger to me. Elton Brand looks like a banger. Someone who can make space inside for himself. Someone who’s a little intimidating driving the lane.

by RickoT on Aug 2, 2010 8:40 AM PDT reply actions  

Andre is a better athlete than most NBA 2’s, but he’s too small to defend players like Pierce or Odom. Thad, however, is not!/blockquote>

I would much rather have Andre guarding the large 3s. Size isn’t everything.

by philsfreak6 on Aug 2, 2010 8:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

Andre’s been in the league a lot longer an his experience makes him a better defender. Thad, however, is built for defending. With good coaching and a stable place in the line-up- there is a big difference between guarding 4’s and 3’s – Thad should turn out to be an above average defender.

Kobe’s a better defender than the Laker forwards, but you won’t see them putting him on a bigger forward. There’s a reason for that. You should use players where they can be the most effective to get the most out of them.

Thad is tall enough to post up other small forwards on offense, and quick enough to cause major problems for the other team. He can’t get to the basket, because the Sixers don’t have strong Centers and Power Forwards that draw double-teams. If you remember how effective Tayshaun was for Detroit, you also know he had Ben Wallace and Rasheed Wallace out on the floor with him. Their presence made his job easier.

The problem isn’t Thad, it’s the front-court.

by RickoT on Aug 2, 2010 9:29 AM PDT up reply actions  

There were times last year when they put Kobe on Pierce

Anyway, Andre only give up about 1 or 2 inches against opposing SFs.

by rajav on Aug 2, 2010 10:01 AM PDT up reply actions  

Anderson Varejao is a good defender and rebounder

but you’re right. I just looked at his contract, he has 5 years and 42 million left on his deal. Not worth it IMO

by rajav on Aug 2, 2010 8:41 AM PDT reply actions  

Ideally, we trade Thad along with Kapono’s expiring to a contender for draft picks in this year’s draft. Won’t happen but Thad, like Mike said, could intrigue some GM’s with his potential and he’s the third wheel at this point. IF we are unable to deal him or it doesn’t make “basketball sense” I’d sign him for less than the MLE, any more is a gross overpayment.

by prideoux on Aug 2, 2010 1:48 PM PDT reply actions  

Caption

Thaddeus is in awe when he sees Tony Battie on the Magic bench and is completely defenseless in the presence of his veteran leadership.

Let the Jruth be told.

by guitarmouse35 on Aug 2, 2010 2:26 PM PDT reply actions   1 recs

That's what I was looking for!

Atta boy mousey.

Liberty Ballers / Ridiculous Upside / Twitter

The Artist Formerly Known As The Artist Formerly Known As Michael Bourn

by Michael Levin on Aug 2, 2010 6:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

No prob

I’m your go-to caption guy!

Oh yeah, and Thad’s a pretty cool dude too. We should probably do something with him like a trade…or not.

Let the Jruth be told.

by guitarmouse35 on Aug 3, 2010 2:39 PM PDT up reply actions  

Deal Andre & open up the SF spot for Thad!

I also agree that I see Thad as more of a athletic SF, than a PF. He doesn’t rebound the ball too well and isn’t strong enough to handle the low blocks, against bigger players. Thad is a athletic wing who can defend, run the floor and has a improving face up shot. His ball handle still needs some improvement, but he can get to the basket rather easily. I would perfer to keep Thad Young long-term over Andre at the SF spot. First, just look at what Andre’s Salary looks like, the fact he isn’t an elite player and doesn’t have a true position on the floor. Young is younger, less expensive and has more upside over Andre at this point in time.

by cowboyny on Aug 2, 2010 5:07 PM PDT reply actions  

Ah, but Iguodala plays defense, rebounds, passes, and has basketball IQ, as well as being a decent scorer. Thad is occasionally a decent scorer. He doesn’t play defense, rebound, pass, or have basketball IQ. These are useful things.

I’m not going to take the “Iguodala is overpaid” bait, for a change. He shouldn’t be traded unless there is real value in return. But I do think that if real value, in the form of multiple draft picks, young players with high upside on rookie deals, and/or cap relief comes along, then Iguodala should be traded, because it’s unlikely that the team will be able to contend while the Albatross is still on the roster, and it would be a waste of Iguodala’s prime to spend it here.

by dweebowitz on Aug 2, 2010 5:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

What happened to Batman?

by Naismithball on Aug 2, 2010 9:29 PM PDT reply actions  

He's aight

Liberty Ballers / Ridiculous Upside / Twitter

The Artist Formerly Known As The Artist Formerly Known As Michael Bourn

by Michael Levin on Aug 2, 2010 10:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

Let’s start by getting this out of the way: Basketball and Baseball are two different sports, whereas Baseball, you rely on the statistics and the size and the measurements, basketball devalues that, and focuses much more on talent instead.

Ricky Davis and Stephon Marbury come to mind as players who put up stats, surely they’re great players! Great unto themselves, and not the team game, which actually wins.

I argue very significantly with this piece when it says Thad isn’t a good isolation scorer…WHAT? How does he get those points then, magic? On the contrary, Thad’s a great isolation scorer. How many times have we seen Thad in the post? The mid-range jumper? the deadly first step. In addition, with Thad’s wing span and foot speed, we’ve seen Thad as one of the best finishers on the break. Something this piece also criticizes as a bad thing.

Simply put, Thad is a two-way dimensional offensive threat. And other then hopefully Evan Turner and maybe Lou Williams, there’s no one else on this roster that can do it. NONE. That’s why we suck on offense. Heck, I don’t even think we have one-way dimensional threats. Oh, there’s Meeks before I forget. But he’s a rotation guard.

by LeQuan Glover on Aug 2, 2010 11:49 PM PDT reply actions  

Thad hit 30% of his shots outside of ten feet last year. I don’t see how that gives him a dependable mid-range jumper. And his one post move is his lefty jump hook which he goes to maybe once a game. He’s not great in isolation because he’s not strong, he’s not a good ball-handler, and he lacks a consistent jump shot. Thus far in his career, he’s been a one-dimensional player, and not a good one at that.

Liberty Ballers / Ridiculous Upside / Twitter

The Artist Formerly Known As The Artist Formerly Known As Michael Bourn

by Michael Levin on Aug 3, 2010 5:10 AM PDT up reply actions  

http://www.nba.com/hotspots/ Now I took a look at the shots Thad took from within 10 feet. EXCLUDING the painted area. If my calculations serve correctly, he shot 34.8% from 10-feet out. We might as well round up and say 35%.

Your claim only holds true in the 15-18 feet area, where he shot 28.5 percent.

ESPN’s information conflicts with my own. ESPN states Thad shot 34.8% from 3. I have him at 32.5%.

We can roughly conclude from the data, Thaddeus Young’s struggles are in the long mid-range area. But from the post, to the short jumper, Thad is solid. And his improving perimeter game adds to that.

Overall? Thad shot 49% and 47% from the field last year. I think I’ll take that thank you :).

by LeQuan Glover on Aug 3, 2010 10:10 AM PDT reply actions  

http://www.hoopdata.com/player.aspx?name=Thaddeus%20Young

FG%:

At rim: 62%
<10 ft: 40%
10-15ft: 40%
16-23ft: 29%
3pts: 34.8%

He is lousy from 16-23 feet. That is a “midrange jumper.”

by tk76 on Aug 3, 2010 10:36 AM PDT up reply actions  

If so, it begs the question: Why is he better from 3 then from mid-range?

by LeQuan Glover on Aug 3, 2010 11:15 AM PDT reply actions  

Because his three point shots are created by others and are taken with his feet set.

it’s actually fairly common.

by Derek Bodner on Aug 3, 2010 11:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

And his mid-rangers aren’t? If one argues we over-rated Thaddeus Young, I feel like now we’re under-rating him. The truth is somewhere in the middle.

by LeQuan Glover on Aug 3, 2010 3:13 PM PDT reply actions  

Room for Improvement

I don’t think Thad has hit his ceiling yet, he’s only 22, but like all of 6ernation I don’t know what that cieling is. Stiffanski is probably the most screwed GM in all of the NBA b/c there’s only mediocre talent…and Brand’s contract is heavy to unload so they can’t re-build…Iggy is movable but w/o the ability to move Brand they can’t truly rebuild in order to see what a Thadeus Young can do.

by tru1776er on Aug 4, 2010 8:32 AM PDT reply actions  

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