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Change of the (backup) guards

report came out earlier today that the Sixers are looking to obtain an additional first or second round pick.  This is great, as there's a lot of depth deep in this draft that could be useful down the line.  The speculation has primarily been centered around big men, and for good reason.  With the three wing starters in place, but nobody guaranteed to be a long term fixture in the frontcourt, the need for a big man is very real.

That being said, this team is in desperate need of retooling its guard bench, and I think the depth of this draft potentially makes that the best way to go.

Star-divide

With the (assumed) addition of Evan Turner in a few hours, the dynamics of the team will change entirely.  Gone are the days of not having a perimeter player capable of drawing a double team, of not having someone to initiate the half court offense.  Holiday, Turner and Iguodala present a trio of wing players capable of finding the open man.  While I'm not a complete Louis Williams hater, his role in initiating the offense will be lessened next year, which makes his warts even more damning.  The Sixers need to go away from poor defensive, isolation heavy perimeter players and instead focus on obtaining catch and shoot players who can defend and not turn the ball over.  No more Allen Iverson, and if you can replace Louis Williams, Willie Green, and potentially even Thaddeus Young with similarly talented catch and shoot players, that's the direction this team should go in.  Luckily, there's a plethora of them in this draft.

Players to target:

Xavier Henry

Good in transition?  Check.  Good spot-up shooter?  Check.  Good frame should he be asked to defend the 3?  Check.  The major concerns with Xavier Henry as a lottery pick aren't nearly as much of a concern for the Sixers, as they'd be asking him to station himself in the corner and prevent teams from doubling Turner, a role he'd thrive in.  Henry may have some trouble guarding NBA SG's, but he'd be an excellent fit with Holiday, Turner and Iguodala, as he'd get open looks, transition opportunities, and could regularly guard the opponents weakest perimeter player.

Paul George

Another high riser who appears to be out of the attainable range, Paul George's upside is tremendous.  The concern is whether he puts all his physical tools together, a concern largely stemming from him being a late bloomer and the lack of success on his Fresno State squad.  There's also some concern that George may not have the demeanor to make the most of his vast array of tools.  That being said, after Evan Turner and Wesley Johnson, George might have the most talent of any wing in this draft.  With Turner in the fold, if George doesn't pan out, he'll still be an extremely useful player.  If he does pan out?  The Sixers come away huge winners in this draft.  With a potential #1 in Turner on roster, George becomes a high reward, low risk type of selection.

Avery Bradley

Avery Bradley may not have the ceiling of Paul George of even Xavier Henry, but he also has a higher floor.  Bradley's great pressure defense and great spot-up shooting fit this teams needs to a T, and his lack of PG skills and inability to draw contact become less of a concern.  With the defensive versatility of Holiday, Turner and Iguodala, Bradley's size can easily be hidden, and his pressure defense becomes a huge asset.  

Dominique Jones

His skillsets don't match up perfectly with the team needs, but a backup PG is still a need, and if Jones falls to the second round he could be one of the drafts bigger sleepers.  Jones is still a subpar shooter from range with questionable shot selection, but his athleticism, ability to get out in transition, and ability to get to the line make him a potential steal based on talent, even if not on fit.

Players to stay away from:

Luke Babbitt

That's not to say if the Sixers can acquire a pick in the low 20's and Babbitt surprisingly falls that they shouldn't be interested in him.  At that point, the Nevada product becomes a great pick based on value alone.  That being said, Babbitt appears to be firmly in the mid-late lottery range after a tremendous Combine at Chicago, and overpaying for him when he may not be the best fit may be a mistake.  Babbitt was an extremely high usage player at Nevada, scoring a lot off of isolation and his surprising athleticism, and was only average on catch and shoot situations.  If his isolation skillsets aren't being fully utilized, his defensive weaknesses become more of an issue.  I'd be much more inclined to overpay for Babbitt if the Sixers went in the Derrick Favors direction.

Willie Warren

Should Warren drop to the second round, he becomes a value pick, someone who could potentially replace some of Louis Williams/Willie Green's productivity at a much cheaper cost.  That being said, I wouldn't trade anything of significance for Warren, and drafting the former potential lottery pick in the first round would be a mistake.  Warren's a below average defender and a mediocre catch and shoot player, skillsets we already have an abundance of.  

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Great read, and just awesome timing :)

by jemagee on Jun 24, 2010 1:33 PM PDT reply actions  

How many picks are rumored to be out there for outright sale?

If comcast wants me to buy their nonsense about ‘committed’ to building a winner, buying at least 2 of them with their billions of dollars available to them to do what Derek suggests would go a long way towards placating my lack of faith when they talk about being wiling to spend.

6 million dollars buys you two first round picks you only have to pay for 3 years if you decide you don’t like em (or is it now two) AND guys who aren’t eligible for contract extensions until the NEW cba kicks in.

6 million dollars in free agency buys you one MLE guy who you probably ahve to over pay but really why bother with the MLE when your team is so far away.

I think Comcast really needs to start investing in buying those available picks…

by jemagee on Jun 24, 2010 1:36 PM PDT reply actions  

And ps – buy those second round picks – stash those euros who are young – own their rights – LEARN from other teams

by jemagee on Jun 24, 2010 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

I imagine if they pick up an additional late first-early second, they might be looking for a project big, rather than another backcourt player, at least for this year. At this point, there is still Willie Green, Lou Williams, and Jodie Meeks (who sort of fits your profile at this point), plus Jason Kapono (who also sort of fits your profile) for one more year. I am concerned that there is no one on the roster at this point who looks even a tiny bit like a primary rebounder, unless you believe that Brand is going to rebound this season. Which no one does.

Now, if they did what I would like and got a late first and a second, a bench shooter who can defend is a terrific idea…

by dweebowitz on Jun 24, 2010 2:25 PM PDT reply actions  

But I think dereks subtle point was that all those names you mentioned are terrible and should be made to go away :)

Or as he politely put it

The Sixers need to go away from poor defensive, isolation heavy perimeter players and instead focus on obtaining catch and shoot players who can defend and not turn the ball over.

Green and Kapono also should be gone after next season

by jemagee on Jun 24, 2010 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

I will 100% agree that Green and Kapono are terrible and should be made to go away, preferably in exchange for the very picks they use to get a serviceable replacement. I don’t know if Meeks can or cannot play yet. I would like to see him get the chance to prove that he does or does not suck.

by dweebowitz on Jun 24, 2010 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

Well he doesn’t have a high bar to surpass

But I believe lou williams is everything derek said the sixers need to get away from in terms of back up guards

by jemagee on Jun 24, 2010 2:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

Sorry. Forgot to list him under “should be made to go away”. Although Jordan seems to believe he has value.

There is a place on the roster for one of the following three players: WIlliams, Young, Speights. At this point, I would go with Speights, because he’s, you know, tall and stuff, and might occasionally stick his hands in the air and get a rebound or block a shot. And they simply have no frontcourt players at all. But one instant-offense guy off the bench is valuable. Three is a waste of roster space. They are basically the same player, in small, medium, and large sizes.

by dweebowitz on Jun 24, 2010 3:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

. Although Jordan seems to believe he has value.

He also believed nate Robinson could damage jrue holidays psyche or that the sixers had a better chance winning with elton brand on the bench…he was kind of an idiot :)

There is a place on the roster for one of the following three players: WIlliams, Young, Speights. At this point, I would go with Speights,

See, that’s not really the issue – they don’t all play the same positions…Speights is a back up PF/C, Young is a SF (and small PF I guess) and lou is a short shooting guard.

The problem is that (to me) Williams, Green and Meeks are all the same player – so 3 roster spots taken up by the same guy

by jemagee on Jun 24, 2010 3:07 PM PDT reply actions  

I believe he was talking about me when he said Jordan.

And not to re-open arguments, but I do believe Lou has value, and I don’t think Derek is arguing against that.

by Jordan Sams on Jun 24, 2010 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

Oh – see – i thought he was talkinga bout the coach :)

by jemagee on Jun 24, 2010 3:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

My point was, Williams, Young, and Speights, although they play different positions, basically fultil the same need for the second unit. All three are players who can score at a high rate, and can’t, or don’t, do anything else. There is only need for one guy who scores a lot and doesn’t do anything else off the bench.

In terms of position, you’re right, of course. But I think that, in terms of function, there is a possibility that Meeks is a different player than Lou WIlliams. For example, he seems to at least put out the effort to play defense. And he has shown signs of being a passable long-range jump-shooter. Lou is a “poor defensive, isolation-heavy perimeter player”, as Derek puts it. This is why I’ve been hoping they will devote serious minutes to seeing whether Meeks is a player or not.

by dweebowitz on Jun 24, 2010 4:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

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